NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM ND
Points 72.4 62.1
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 24.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 25.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.5
Shooting CLEM ND
Field Goals Made 25.9 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 56.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 36.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 12.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 16.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 73.7%
Ball Control CLEM ND
Rebounds 37.1 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.6
Turnovers 7.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.6
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 13.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM ND
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 66.0
% of Possessions with CLEM ND
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 34.7%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.6%
Turnover 11.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM ND
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.8%