NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST ARPB
Points 82.0 76.3
Total Points   158.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 26.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 34.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 15.7
Shooting JKST ARPB
Field Goals Made 29.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 55.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 25.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.1 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 20.9
Free Throw % 71.9% 75.0%
Ball Control JKST ARPB
Rebounds 42.2 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 6.8
Turnovers 9.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.5
Steals 7.0 4.4
Fouls 15.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST ARPB
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 79.9 68.3
% of Possessions with JKST ARPB
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 31.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 36.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 20.8%
Turnover 12.3% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST ARPB
Shot Blocked 2.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 37.4% 19.9%