NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB IND
Points 78.6 64.4
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 11.7
Points From Free Throws 16.7 18.2
Shooting AUB IND
Field Goals Made 26.7 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 54.7
Field Goal % 43.5% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 42.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 16.7 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 27.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 65.9%
Ball Control AUB IND
Rebounds 39.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.5
Turnovers 8.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.9
Steals 7.8 4.6
Fouls 18.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB IND
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 71.0
% of Possessions with AUB IND
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 15.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 25.8%
Turnover 12.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB IND
Shot Blocked 5.5% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 27.2%