NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU SYR
Points 76.9 77.3
Total Points   154.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.9
Shooting LSU SYR
Field Goals Made 27.8 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 57.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.8
Free Throw % 73.3% 72.8%
Ball Control LSU SYR
Rebounds 37.3 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 7.5
Turnovers 14.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.0
Steals 6.7 10.2
Fouls 14.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU SYR
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.8
% of Possessions with LSU SYR
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 24.3%
Player Fouled 17.9% 20.1%
Turnover 19.9% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 13.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU SYR
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 22.2%