NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM PITT
Points 71.3 70.3
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 29.5
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.4
Shooting CLEM PITT
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 60.4
Field Goal % 45.0% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 29.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.3
Free Throw % 77.8% 73.0%
Ball Control CLEM PITT
Rebounds 36.7 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.6
Turnovers 8.9 6.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 3.2 5.3
Fouls 14.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM PITT
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 71.1
% of Possessions with CLEM PITT
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 37.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.8%
Turnover 13.0% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM PITT
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.5%