NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST PV
Points 76.0 69.9
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 14.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.0
Shooting JKST PV
Field Goals Made 26.1 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 56.9
Field Goal % 47.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 21.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.5%
Ball Control JKST PV
Rebounds 39.2 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 8.9
Turnovers 14.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.3
Steals 6.8 7.9
Fouls 16.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST PV
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 69.8
% of Possessions with JKST PV
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 17.9%
Player Fouled 22.2% 22.1%
Turnover 20.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST PV
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 39.1% 25.3%