NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST TXSO
Points 69.3 73.0
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 24.8
Points From Free Throws 16.4 13.6
Shooting JKST TXSO
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 59.6
Field Goal % 39.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 16.4 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 18.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.6%
Ball Control JKST TXSO
Rebounds 38.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.1
Turnovers 11.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.0
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 13.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST TXSO
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 71.3
% of Possessions with JKST TXSO
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.4% 19.2%
Turnover 15.7% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST TXSO
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 30.3%