NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC IDHO
Points 65.5 72.6
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 12.2
Shooting PAC IDHO
Field Goals Made 22.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 55.3
Field Goal % 44.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 16.4
Free Throw % 65.1% 74.3%
Ball Control PAC IDHO
Rebounds 29.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 7.6
Turnovers 9.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.3
Steals 5.6 4.7
Fouls 13.8 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC IDHO
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 65.4
% of Possessions with PAC IDHO
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 33.1%
Player Fouled 27.1% 20.3%
Turnover 14.5% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC IDHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 23.9%