NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM NORF
Points 65.6 72.9
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 19.0 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 15.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.1
Shooting CWM NORF
Field Goals Made 19.8 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 53.8
Field Goal % 38.5% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 9.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 20.2 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 22.5
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.8%
Ball Control CWM NORF
Rebounds 33.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.1
Turnovers 11.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 3.8 6.8
Fouls 16.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM NORF
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 67.7
% of Possessions with CWM NORF
2 Point Attempt 25.5% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 39.6% 20.5%
Player Fouled 24.6% 24.0%
Turnover 17.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM NORF
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 28.5%