NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM RICH
Points 58.8 76.2
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 24.6 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 21.2
Points From Free Throws 10.2 13.0
Shooting CWM RICH
Field Goals Made 20.3 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.6
Field Goal % 35.4% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.3 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 10.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 18.2
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.6%
Ball Control CWM RICH
Rebounds 33.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 4.8
Turnovers 9.9 7.2
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.6
Steals 3.4 5.5
Fouls 15.1 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM RICH
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 64.5
% of Possessions with CWM RICH
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 25.4%
Player Fouled 18.5% 22.6%
Turnover 14.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM RICH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 16.7%