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UCSD at Cal St Nrdge
Sat Mar 2, 2024
8:00pm ET
Northridge, CA
UCSD at Cal St Nrdge: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UC San Diego by 4.5, Total Points: 150
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCSD | adv | CSN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 22-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-4-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 14-4-0 |
UCSD Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | San Diego | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | La Verne | -- | W by 59 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | Navy | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Idaho | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Seattle | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Washington | +15.0 | L by 27 | -12.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | San Diego St | +13.5 | L by 1 | +12.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Occidental | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Pepperdine | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Sac State | +1.5 | W by 31 | +32.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | California | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | UCSB | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | CS Fullerton | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Lg Beach St | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Cal Poly | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | UC Irvine | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Hawaii | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | UC Riverside | -7.0 | W by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | UC Davis | +3.5 | W by 33 | +36.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Lg Beach St | (Pick) | L by 9 | -9.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Hawaii | +1.5 | L by 8 | -6.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | UCSB | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | CS Fullerton | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | UC Riverside | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | UC Irvine | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Cal St Nrdge | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | UC Davis | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Cal Poly | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Chicago St | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
Cal St Nrdge Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Stanford | +23.0 | L by 9 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Idaho | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Chicago St | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Life Pacific | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -14.0 | L by 10 | -24.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Miss Val St | -15.5 | W by 36 | +20.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Pacific | +3.5 | W by 11 | +14.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Colorado | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Bethesda University | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Utah Tech | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | UCLA | +17.5 | W by 4 | +21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Montana St | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Cal Poly | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Lg Beach St | +8.0 | W by 16 | +24.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Hawaii | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | UC Davis | +5.0 | L by 20 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | CS Fullerton | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | UCSB | -1.5 | L by 28 | -29.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | UC Riverside | +3.0 | L by 19 | -16.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | UC Irvine | +13.0 | L by 5 | +8.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | UCSD | +10.5 | L by 21 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UC Riverside | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | UCSB | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | UC Davis | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | CS Fullerton | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | UC Irvine | +7.0 | L by 25 | -18.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | UCSD | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Hawaii | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCSB | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Hawaii | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| UCSD -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2040 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UC San Diego won the game 1293 times (63.4%).
- The team like CSU Northridge won the game 747 times (36.6%).
- The team like CSU Northridge did better against the spread, going 1028-978-34 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3996 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like UC San Diego did better against the spread, going 1965-1957-74 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 06:07 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:50 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/01 08:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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