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Troy at Dayton
Sat Dec 9, 2023
12:30pm ET
Dayton, OH
Troy at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 13.5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-10-1 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-2-1 | 6-9-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 10-7-1 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | University of Fort Lauderdale | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Grambling St | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SIU Edward | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Dayton | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Old Dominion | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisiana | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Texas St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | GA Southern | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgia St | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Marshall | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kent St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Arkansas St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Texas St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| DAY -13.5 | Open | -13.0 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1560 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 1423 times (91.2%).
- The team like Troy won the game 137 times (8.8%).
- The team like Troy did better against the spread, going 797-741-22 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4561 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Troy did better against the spread, going 2234-2232-95 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -13.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 12:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:32 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:02 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:47 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:53 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:14 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:11 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:10 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:35 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:04 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:47 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:17 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:44 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
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