NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC WASH
Points 79.0 77.7
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 27.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 14.7
Shooting USC WASH
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 60.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 20.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.5%
Ball Control USC WASH
Rebounds 38.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.2
Turnovers 10.9 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.4
Steals 7.1 5.7
Fouls 16.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC WASH
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 72.9
% of Possessions with USC WASH
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.6%
Turnover 14.4% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC WASH
Shot Blocked 5.6% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 24.9%