NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV CALBA
Points 66.2 74.4
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 11.8 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 14.4
Shooting UTRGV CALBA
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 59.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 3.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.7
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.6%
Ball Control UTRGV CALBA
Rebounds 30.4 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 12.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 5.5 3.9
Fouls 15.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV CALBA
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 72.7
% of Possessions with UTRGV CALBA
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.5%
Turnover 14.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV CALBA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 33.3%