NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST WSU
Points 57.9 77.9
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.4
Shooting PRST WSU
Field Goals Made 19.5 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.6
Field Goal % 33.5% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 35.4% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 23.2
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.0%
Ball Control PRST WSU
Rebounds 29.9 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 32.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.9
Turnovers 9.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.5
Steals 5.2 4.5
Fouls 17.6 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wash State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST WSU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 70.3
% of Possessions with PRST WSU
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 20.7%
Player Fouled 20.9% 25.1%
Turnover 14.2% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST WSU
Shot Blocked 10.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 34.1%