NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST SMC
Points 57.5 78.3
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.1
Shooting CLEVST SMC
Field Goals Made 21.0 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.6
Field Goal % 37.3% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 21.0
Free Throw % 65.8% 67.1%
Ball Control CLEVST SMC
Rebounds 26.2 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 14.0
Turnovers 8.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.8
Steals 5.9 5.0
Fouls 15.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: St Marys

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST SMC
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 71.1
% of Possessions with CLEVST SMC
2 Point Attempt 55.9% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.8%
Turnover 12.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST SMC
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 42.6%