NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN ALA
Points 83.5 78.8
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 33.3
Points From Free Throws 20.0 17.9
Shooting TENN ALA
Field Goals Made 27.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 62.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 20.0 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 23.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 76.4%
Ball Control TENN ALA
Rebounds 40.6 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 12.2
Turnovers 8.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.1 2.9
Steals 7.8 5.5
Fouls 17.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN ALA
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 80.0 76.4
% of Possessions with TENN ALA
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 32.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 36.1%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.6%
Turnover 11.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN ALA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 30.5%