NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM GASO
Points 73.8 81.5
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.7 36.5
Points From Free Throws 21.4 14.2
Shooting ULM GASO
Field Goals Made 23.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 21.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 32.1 19.9
Free Throw % 66.8% 71.5%
Ball Control ULM GASO
Rebounds 37.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.3
Steals 6.6 5.6
Fouls 15.6 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM GASO
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 69.5
% of Possessions with ULM GASO
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 32.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 37.0%
Player Fouled 27.0% 21.5%
Turnover 14.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM GASO
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.9% 26.2%