NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW SH
Points 67.7 65.1
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 16.3
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.9
Shooting MW SH
Field Goals Made 22.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 54.6
Field Goal % 42.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.4
Free Throw % 74.8% 70.0%
Ball Control MW SH
Rebounds 31.9 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.4
Turnovers 13.8 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.5
Steals 8.5 8.0
Fouls 13.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW SH
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 66.3
% of Possessions with MW SH
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 19.0%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.6%
Turnover 19.4% 20.2%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW SH
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 27.6%