NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU CIN
Points 65.9 73.0
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 20.4
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.6
Shooting KSU CIN
Field Goals Made 22.3 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 65.5
Field Goal % 40.0% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 19.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 68.9%
Ball Control KSU CIN
Rebounds 36.2 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 15.8
Turnovers 13.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.5
Steals 4.8 7.3
Fouls 14.0 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU CIN
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 78.2
% of Possessions with KSU CIN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 19.6%
Turnover 18.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU CIN
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 37.3%