NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK SOU
Points 65.8 66.4
Total Points   132.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 18.4
Points From Free Throws 20.1 17.5
Shooting COOK SOU
Field Goals Made 20.5 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 49.1
Field Goal % 41.1% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 20.1 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 26.7
Free Throw % 75.9% 65.3%
Ball Control COOK SOU
Rebounds 32.9 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.1
Turnovers 14.5 15.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.3
Steals 7.7 8.4
Fouls 18.5 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK SOU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 66.1
% of Possessions with COOK SOU
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 22.1%
Player Fouled 25.2% 25.7%
Turnover 20.0% 21.1%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK SOU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 27.4%