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Northwestern at Maryland
Wed Feb 28, 2024
7:00pm ET
College Park, MD
Northwestern at Maryland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 5.5, Total Points: 129.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | MD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-2 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-1 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 7-9-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Mt St Marys | -20.5 | W by 15 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Davidson | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | UAB | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Maryland BC | -19.0 | W by 24 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Alabama | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Rider | -17.0 | W by 27 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 40 | +17.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | UCLA | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Coppin St | -29.5 | W by 22 | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Rutgers | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Rutgers | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.0 | L by 31 | -27.0 |
| MD -5.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3721 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 2578 times (69.3%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 1143 times (30.7%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 1880-1791-50 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2062 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 1029-995-38 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/28 07:00 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 06:45 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 05:08 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 04:45 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 03:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 02:22 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 01:22 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/28 01:15 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 12:30 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:17 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 08:20 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 01:13 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:30 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/27 07:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:39 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/27 03:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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