NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK GRAM
Points 66.1 68.1
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 14.9
Points From Free Throws 15.7 19.8
Shooting COOK GRAM
Field Goals Made 22.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 48.9
Field Goal % 40.2% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 13.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 28.0
Free Throw % 75.9% 70.7%
Ball Control COOK GRAM
Rebounds 33.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.3
Turnovers 11.7 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.7
Steals 8.3 7.5
Fouls 17.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK GRAM
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 66.3
% of Possessions with COOK GRAM
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 16.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.0%
Turnover 16.6% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK GRAM
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 29.2%