NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB UVU
Points 69.2 68.8
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 13.8
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.1
Shooting WEB UVU
Field Goals Made 24.0 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.1
Field Goal % 44.3% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 18.5
Free Throw % 73.7% 65.3%
Ball Control WEB UVU
Rebounds 30.3 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.1
Turnovers 10.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.8
Steals 6.7 5.4
Fouls 15.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB UVU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 65.8
% of Possessions with WEB UVU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 19.7%
Player Fouled 23.6% 21.9%
Turnover 14.7% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB UVU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 25.5%