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Nevada vs. Drake
Sat Dec 9, 2023
7:30pm ET
Henderson, NV
(Neutral Site)
Nevada vs. Drake: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nevada by 4.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | DRKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-12-0 | 18-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 9-10-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Drake Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Lipscomb | -15.5 | W by 15 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Southwest Minnesota St. | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Oakland | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Ste F Austin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Akron | -1.5 | W by 20 | +18.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | TX Southern | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Saint Louis | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Nevada | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Grambling St | -23.5 | W by 12 | -11.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -18.0 | W by 37 | +19.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | UAB | -5.5 | L by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Belmont | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Indiana St | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | S Illinois | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Illinois St | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Evansville | -17.5 | W by 49 | +31.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Missouri St | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Iowa | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Valparaiso | -19.5 | W by 11 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | S Illinois | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Bradley | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Evansville | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Murray St | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Belmont | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Iowa | -2.0 | L by 14 | -16.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | IL-Chicago | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Bradley | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Evansville | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Bradley | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Indiana St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wash State | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| NEV -4.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 907 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Nevada won the game 606 times (66.8%).
- The team like Drake won the game 301 times (33.2%).
- The team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 457-437-13 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4561 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 2234-2232-95 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 07:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:47 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:27 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:17 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 09:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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