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Nevada at Colorado St
Tue Feb 27, 2024
10:30pm ET
Fort Collins, CO
Nevada at Colorado St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Colorado St. by 6.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | CSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-12-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 9-10-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Colorado St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | LA Tech | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Wright St | -10.0 | W by 28 | +18.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Colorado | -11.5 | W by 19 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Kansas City | -17.0 | W by 23 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +9.0 | W by 21 | +30.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Colorado | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Washington | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Denver | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | St Marys | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | CSU Pueblo | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | New Mexico | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Utah St | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Boise St | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Air Force | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | UNLV | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Nevada | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Wyoming | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | San Diego St | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Jose St | -15.0 | W by 19 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Diego St | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Utah St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UNLV | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Nevada | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wyoming | -15.5 | W by 8 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Air Force | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | San Jose St | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Nevada | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| CSU -6.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3545 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Colorado St. won the game 2600 times (73.3%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 945 times (26.7%).
- The team like Colorado St. did better against the spread, going 1760-1731-54 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3460 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 1703-1693-64 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/27 10:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:45 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:41 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:24 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 04:57 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 04:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:30 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/27 02:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:50 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:05 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:35 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:26 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:35 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:44 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:10 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/26 09:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:38 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:11 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:44 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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