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NC State at Mississippi
Tue Nov 28, 2023
9:00pm ET
Oxford, MS
NC State at Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi by 2, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-20-1 | 14-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-12-1 | 7-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 12-11-1 | 6-8-0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | E Washingtn | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Detroit | -23.5 | W by 1 | -22.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Temple | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC State | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Mt St Marys | -16.0 | W by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | UCF | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Troy | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Bryant | -15.0 | W by 17 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 26 | -14.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Florida | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Auburn | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miss State | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Carolina | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Alabama | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Missouri | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.0 | L by 26 | -27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| MISS -2.0 | Open | +1.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3381 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi won the game 1899 times (56.2%).
- The team like NC State won the game 1482 times (43.8%).
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 1670-1639-72 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 317 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 159-152-6 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 09:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 08:26 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/27 08:10 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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