NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU ORST
Points 64.1 69.4
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.7 16.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 15.3
Shooting UVU ORST
Field Goals Made 22.7 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 53.3
Field Goal % 39.8% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 13.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.8
Free Throw % 65.3% 73.5%
Ball Control UVU ORST
Rebounds 34.7 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.5
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.8
Steals 6.0 6.1
Fouls 17.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU ORST
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 65.9
% of Possessions with UVU ORST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 20.9%
Player Fouled 23.2% 25.6%
Turnover 15.2% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU ORST
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 23.5%