NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH ORE
Points 70.9 79.9
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 45.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.5
Shooting MICH ORE
Field Goals Made 24.7 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 61.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 18.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 72.9%
Ball Control MICH ORE
Rebounds 33.6 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.5
Turnovers 11.9 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 3.5 7.8
Fouls 15.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH ORE
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 72.1
% of Possessions with MICH ORE
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.6%
Turnover 16.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH ORE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.9%