NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR UNLV
Points 65.0 71.3
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 16.6
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.9
Shooting AKR UNLV
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 55.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 19.1
Free Throw % 72.9% 73.0%
Ball Control AKR UNLV
Rebounds 33.0 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.6
Turnovers 10.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.6
Steals 4.4 4.9
Fouls 15.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: UNLV

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR UNLV
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 66.6
% of Possessions with AKR UNLV
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.6%
Turnover 15.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR UNLV
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.8%