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Troy vs. Duke
Sat Dec 23, 2023
12:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
(Neutral Site)
Birmingham Bowl: Troy vs. Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Troy by 6.5, Total Points: 44
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ste F Austin | -26.0 | W by 18 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Kansas St | +15.0 | L by 29 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | James Mad | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | W by 21 | +22.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas St | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Army | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Texas St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | S Alabama | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -21.5 | W by 31 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | S Mississippi | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | App State | -5.5 | W by 26 | +20.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Duke | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| TROY -6.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 86 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Troy won the game 52 times (60.5%).
- The team like Duke won the game 34 times (39.5%).
- The team like Troy did better against the spread, going 44-42 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 483 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 248-229-6 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/23 12:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:59 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:11 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:05 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 07:29 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 04:11 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 03:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 10:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 09:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 08:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 05:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 02:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 09:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 11:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 11:50 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 08:05 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 09:26 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 06:35 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 01:49 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/15 08:35 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 08:11 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:11 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 09:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 09:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 05:12 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 09:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:53 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 12:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:27 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/05 01:37 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/04 04:57 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/04 01:17 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:07 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
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