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Arkansas St vs. N Illinois
Sat Dec 23, 2023
12:00pm ET
Montgomery, AL
(Neutral Site)
Camellia Bowl: Arkansas St vs. N Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas St. by 2.5, Total Points: 53.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | NIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Oklahoma | +36.5 | L by 73 | -36.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Memphis | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Stony Brook | -23.0 | W by 24 | +1.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | S Mississippi | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | U Mass | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Troy | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Coastal Car | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Louisiana | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | S Alabama | +15.0 | L by 7 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Texas St | +3.0 | W by 46 | +49.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Marshall | -1.0 | L by 14 | -15.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | N Illinois | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Boston Col | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Illinois | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Nebraska | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Tulsa | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Toledo | +13.5 | L by 2 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Akron | -4.0 | W by 41 | +37.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Central Mich | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ball St | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Kent St | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| ARST -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 95 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 60 times (63.2%).
- The team like Northern Illinois won the game 35 times (36.8%).
- The team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 51-41-3 (55.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 483 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 248-229-6 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/23 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 07:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 04:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 02:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 08:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 07:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 07:08 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/19 04:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 12:17 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/18 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 03:20 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 01:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 12:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 11:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 07:41 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:07 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:17 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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