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Missouri vs. Ohio St
Fri Dec 29, 2023
8:00pm ET
Arlington, TX
(Neutral Site)
Cotton Bowl: Missouri vs. Ohio St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Ohio State by 4, Total Points: 51
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | OSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Home | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | South Dakota | -27.0 | W by 25 | -2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Middle Tenn | -21.0 | W by 4 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Kansas St | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Vanderbilt | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | LSU | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Georgia | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 29 | +31.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Florida | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Arkansas | -9.5 | W by 34 | +24.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Ohio St | +4.0 | W by 11 | +15.0 |
Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Indiana | -30.0 | W by 20 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Youngstown State | -44.5 | W by 28 | -16.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | W Kentucky | -29.5 | W by 53 | +23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Notre Dame | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Maryland | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Purdue | -17.0 | W by 34 | +17.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Penn St | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wisconsin | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rutgers | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan St | -32.0 | W by 35 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Minnesota | -27.5 | W by 34 | +6.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Michigan | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Missouri | -4.0 | L by 11 | -15.0 |
| OSU -4.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | +3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 91 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ohio St. won the game 57 times (62.6%).
- The team like Missouri won the game 34 times (37.4%).
- The team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 46-42-3 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 103 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ohio St. did better against the spread, going 54-48-1 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | +1.0 | -- |
| Open | +2.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/29 08:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 07:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 07:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 07:09 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 06:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 06:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 06:21 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 06:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 05:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 05:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 04:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 03:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 03:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 02:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:35 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:14 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:35 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:09 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 11:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 11:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 10:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:20 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:41 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 03:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:22 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 11:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 09:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 08:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 08:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 06:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 05:26 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 04:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 02:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 02:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 11:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 10:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 09:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 09:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 07:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 11:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 08:08 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 06:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 12:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 01:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 03:29 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:09 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 11:17 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/19 07:08 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/19 04:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 04:35 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 04:20 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 12:35 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 01:17 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 12/17 01:38 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:20 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 06:56 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 09:53 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 07:44 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:05 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 10:29 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 03:08 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 12/12 02:11 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:05 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:18 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:37 PM | -- | +3.0 | -- |
| 12/06 11:58 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 01:58 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/05 12:58 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/05 11:18 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/05 08:37 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/04 05:37 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 12:37 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:27 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/04 10:07 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:37 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:27 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:17 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/04 08:47 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:38 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
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