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N Carolina vs. W Virginia
Wed Dec 27, 2023
5:30pm ET
Charlotte, NC
(Neutral Site)
Duke's Mayo Bowl: N Carolina vs. W Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: West Virginia by 4.5, Total Points: 62
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | WVU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-1-1 | 0-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-1-1 | 0-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-1-1 | 0-1-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-1 | 0-0-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
W Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Penn St | +21.0 | L by 23 | -2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Duquesne | -38.5 | W by 39 | +0.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Pittsburgh | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Texas Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | TX Christian | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/12 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Oklahoma St | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | UCF | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | BYU | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Oklahoma | +13.0 | L by 39 | -26.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Baylor | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | N Carolina | -4.5 | W by 20 | +15.5 |
| WVU -4.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 73 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like West Virginia won the game 44 times (60.3%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 29 times (39.7%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 40-33 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 483 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 248-229-6 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/27 05:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 05:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 05:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 05:02 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 04:14 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 03:05 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 02:11 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 01:53 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 01:41 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 12:44 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 11:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 11:23 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 11:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:11 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 09:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 08:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 08:05 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 07:13 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 12:56 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 10:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 04:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 02:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 10:58 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 08:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 11:38 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 04:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 06:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 01:28 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/13 11:28 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/13 06:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 08:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 07:29 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:17 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:48 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/11 03:17 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 03:07 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/11 01:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:27 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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