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Kansas vs. UNLV
Tue Dec 26, 2023
9:00pm ET
Phoenix, AZ
(Neutral Site)
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Kansas vs. UNLV: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kansas by 7.5, Total Points: 65
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | KU | adv | UNLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
Kansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Missouri St | -32.5 | W by 31 | -1.5 |
| 09/08 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Nevada | -28.0 | W by 7 | -21.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | BYU | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Texas | +15.0 | L by 26 | -11.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | UCF | +2.0 | W by 29 | +31.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Oklahoma St | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Oklahoma | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Iowa St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Texas Tech | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kansas St | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | UNLV | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
UNLV Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bryant | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Michigan | +38.0 | L by 28 | +10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Vanderbilt | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX El Paso | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Hawaii | -11.0 | W by 24 | +13.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Nevada | -7.5 | W by 18 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Colorado St | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Fresno St | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | New Mexico | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Wyoming | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Air Force | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | San Jose St | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Boise St | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| KU -7.5 | Open | -12.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 73 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Kansas won the game 46 times (63.0%).
- The team like UNLV won the game 27 times (37.0%).
- The team like Kansas did better against the spread, going 37-36 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 18 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 10-7-1 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -12.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/26 09:05 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 09:02 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:50 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:32 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:11 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:53 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:26 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:11 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:50 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:44 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:32 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 05:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 05:44 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 05:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 05:23 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 05:02 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 04:44 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 04:08 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 02:59 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 02:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 02:02 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 01:17 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 12:19 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 12:03 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:53 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:41 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 10:17 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 09:50 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 09:47 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:14 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:02 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 04:35 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 01:22 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 10:50 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 09:47 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 08:14 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 12:23 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 12:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 09:26 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 05:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 05:20 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 11:26 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 11:05 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 01:38 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:39 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 06:20 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 05:23 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:35 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:35 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:18 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:47 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:27 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
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