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Mississippi vs. Penn St
Sat Dec 30, 2023
12:00pm ET
Atlanta, GA
(Neutral Site)
Peach Bowl: Mississippi vs. Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn State by 6, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Home | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
| PSU -6.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 77 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn St. won the game 42 times (54.5%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 35 times (45.5%).
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 43-34 (55.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 91 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 46-44-1 (51.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/30 12:11 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:47 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:23 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:29 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:14 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:59 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:14 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:14 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 07:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 02:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 11:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 10:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 03:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 10:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:26 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 06:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 02:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 02:11 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 08:02 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 01:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 09:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 12:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 12:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 10:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 02:01 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 06:47 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 12:27 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/12 03:18 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 01:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:33 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 01:58 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/05 01:07 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/05 08:37 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:57 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:27 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:27 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:27 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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