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Texas vs. Washington
Mon Jan 1, 2024
8:45pm ET
New Orleans, LA
(Neutral Site)
Sugar Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Texas vs. Washington: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas by 3, Total Points: 61.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | WASH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Home | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Away | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Rice | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | W by 10 | +17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Wyoming | -30.5 | W by 21 | -9.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Baylor | -17.5 | W by 32 | +14.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Kansas | -15.0 | W by 26 | +11.0 |
| 10/07 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Houston | -23.5 | W by 7 | -16.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | BYU | -20.5 | W by 29 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | TX Christian | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa St | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -16.0 | W by 50 | +34.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Washington | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
Washington Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Boise St | -14.5 | W by 37 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Tulsa | -33.5 | W by 33 | -0.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Michigan St | -15.0 | W by 34 | +19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | California | -20.0 | W by 27 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Arizona | -19.5 | W by 7 | -12.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Oregon | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Arizona St | -28.0 | W by 8 | -20.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Stanford | -28.0 | W by 9 | -19.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | USC | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Oregon St | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wash State | -14.5 | W by 3 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Texas | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Michigan | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| TEX -3.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 98 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas won the game 62 times (63.3%).
- The team like Washington won the game 36 times (36.7%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 50-45-3 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 253 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Washington did better against the spread, going 132-116-5 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/01 08:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 06:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 04:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 04:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 02:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 11:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 11:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 10:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 09:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:02 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 01:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 08:16 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 05:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:02 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 07:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 04:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 11:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 01:09 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 12:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 02:21 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 04:21 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:47 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/04 03:47 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:17 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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