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Duke at Middle Tenn
Sat Sep 21, 2024
4:00pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
Duke at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 14.5, Total Points: 51.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-2-0 | 0-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-2-0 | 0-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-2-0 | 0-3-0 | |
| Home | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Elon | -25.0 | W by 23 | -2.0 |
| 09/06 | Away | Northwestern | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 09/14 | Home | Connecticut | -17.0 | W by 5 | -12.0 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | TN Tech | -24.0 | W by 7 | -17.0 |
| 09/07 | Away | Mississippi | +42.0 | L by 49 | -7.0 |
| 09/14 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.5 | L by 28 | -20.5 |
| DUKE -14.5 | Open | -14.0 | High | -15.0 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 113 games where the closing line favored the away team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 97 times (85.8%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee won the game 16 times (14.2%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 65-47-1 (58.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 college football season there have been 588 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 295-281-12 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -14.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 07:54 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:55 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/18 08:05 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:05 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 02:31 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:55 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:51 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:23 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 03:45 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/16 01:57 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:19 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/16 08:35 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:30 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:03 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 03:02 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
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