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Illinois at Nebraska
Fri Sep 20, 2024
8:00pm ET
Lincoln, NE
Illinois at Nebraska: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nebraska by 7.5, Total Points: 42.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | NEB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-0-1 | 3-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-0-1 | 3-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-0-1 | 3-0-0 | |
| Home | 2-0-1 | 3-0-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/29 | Home | E Illinois | -28.5 | W by 45 | +16.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | Kansas | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Central Mich | -21.0 | W by 21 | 0.0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | TX El Paso | -27.5 | W by 33 | +5.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | Colorado | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | N Iowa | -30.0 | W by 31 | +1.0 |
| NEB -7.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 260 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Nebraska won the game 191 times (73.5%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 69 times (26.5%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 139-118-3 (54.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 college football season there have been 431 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 225-203-3 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 08:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:55 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:10 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/17 05:01 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/17 03:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/17 01:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 01:28 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/17 01:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 12:51 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 12:41 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 10:40 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/17 09:48 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 10:35 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/16 08:56 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 04:50 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:10 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/15 06:26 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 03:02 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
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