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Florida at Miss State
Sat Sep 21, 2024
12:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Florida at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 6.5, Total Points: 58.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-3-0 | 1-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-3-0 | 1-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-3-0 | 1-2-0 | |
| Home | 0-3-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Miami | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | Samford | -38.5 | W by 38 | -0.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | E Kentucky | -26.5 | W by 49 | +22.5 |
| 09/07 | Away | Arizona St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/14 | Home | Toledo | -10.5 | L by 24 | -34.5 |
| FLA -6.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 259 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 166 times (64.1%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 93 times (35.9%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 127-124-8 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 college football season there have been 431 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 225-203-3 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 07:58 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/19 07:54 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:05 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 12:17 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/17 12:15 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:37 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:29 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/16 12:19 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/16 10:45 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 11:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 11:30 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:00 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 06:13 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/15 03:02 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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