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Toledo at W Kentucky
Sat Sep 21, 2024
7:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
Toledo at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 2.5, Total Points: 62
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-1-0 | 2-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-1-0 | 2-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-1-0 | 2-1-0 | |
| Home | 1-1-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Away | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/29 | Home | Duquesne | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | U Mass | -17.5 | W by 15 | -2.5 |
| 09/14 | Away | Miss State | +10.5 | W by 24 | +34.5 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Alabama | +34.5 | L by 63 | -28.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | E Kentucky | -19.5 | W by 31 | +11.5 |
| 09/14 | Away | Middle Tenn | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| TOL -2.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 326 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 172 times (52.8%).
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 154 times (47.2%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 170-147-9 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 college football season there have been 129 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 72-56-1 (56.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 09:09 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:00 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 12:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 08:40 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 07:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 07:16 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:48 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 04:39 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 04:36 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:57 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:33 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:16 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/16 12:53 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/15 07:03 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 03:02 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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