NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL PHI
Points 114.8 112.7
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 37.5
Points From Free Throws 20.0 19.4
Shooting MIL PHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.4 90.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 20.0 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 23.6
Free Throw % 78.0% 82.1%
Ball Control MIL PHI
Rebounds 50.7 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.0
Turnovers 11.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.1
Steals 5.1 6.6
Fouls 16.9 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL PHI
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 103.4
% of Possessions with MIL PHI
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 30.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 16.8%
Turnover 11.8% 9.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL PHI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.2%