NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL ORL
Points 110.0 109.3
Total Points   219.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 33.5
Points From Free Throws 19.0 18.8
Shooting MIL ORL
Field Goals Made 39.5 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 82.6 86.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 19.0 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 24.7
Free Throw % 78.0% 76.1%
Ball Control MIL ORL
Rebounds 47.0 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.6
Turnovers 13.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 6.7 7.0
Fouls 19.3 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL ORL
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 96.7 100.8
% of Possessions with MIL ORL
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 28.5%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.2%
Turnover 12.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL ORL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 23.4%