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Milwaukee at Minnesota
Fri Feb 23, 2024
10:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Milwaukee at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 4, Total Points: 225.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-49-1 | 49-47-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-15-0 | 14-7-2 | |
| vs Conference | 28-29-1 | 34-32-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 21-22-1 | 21-26-2 | |
| Away | 17-27-0 | 28-21-0 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Indiana | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 04/28 | Away | Indiana | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 04/30 | Home | Indiana | +5.0 | W by 23 | +28.0 |
| 05/02 | Away | Indiana | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 05/04 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 05/06 | Away | Denver | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | L by 27 | -30.5 |
| 05/12 | Home | Denver | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 05/14 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 05/16 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | W by 45 | +43.0 |
| 05/19 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 05/22 | Home | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 05/24 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 05/26 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 05/28 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 05/30 | Home | Dallas | -5.0 | L by 21 | -26.0 |
| MIN -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1097 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 680 times (62.0%).
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 417 times (38.0%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 552-521-24 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 786 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 392-382-12 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/23 10:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:58 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 09:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:28 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 09:16 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:22 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:16 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/23 08:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:12 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 08:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:00 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/23 07:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 07:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/23 07:36 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 07:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 07:26 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/23 06:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 06:12 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 06:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 02:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:43 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:20 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 11:17 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:16 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 10:38 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/23 10:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:10 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:43 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 07:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 06:28 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 06:19 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:55 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:49 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:36 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/23 05:30 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/22 10:32 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/22 05:36 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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