NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MIL
Points 113.0 117.4
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.2 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 47.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 18.9
Shooting CHI MIL
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 85.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 58.3 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 41.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.0%
Ball Control CHI MIL
Rebounds 48.7 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.9
Turnovers 9.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.2
Steals 6.6 5.5
Fouls 17.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MIL
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 99.7
% of Possessions with CHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 36.9%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.3%
Turnover 9.4% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MIL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 21.1%