NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI BOS
Points 104.6 118.4
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 54.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.6
Shooting CHI BOS
Field Goals Made 40.2 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 92.9 87.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 59.8 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 18.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 46.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 20.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 80.1%
Ball Control CHI BOS
Rebounds 48.8 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 41.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.4
Turnovers 9.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.8
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 15.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 99.5
% of Possessions with CHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 41.9%
Player Fouled 14.3% 16.1%
Turnover 10.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI BOS
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 24.0%