NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE CHI
Points 112.2 109.8
Total Points   222.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.2 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.7 34.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.2
Shooting CLE CHI
Field Goals Made 40.5 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 88.1
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 40.4 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.5
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.2%
Ball Control CLE CHI
Rebounds 47.4 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.8
Turnovers 12.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 15.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE CHI
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 100.1
% of Possessions with CLE CHI
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 27.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 15.8%
Turnover 12.4% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE CHI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 24.0%