NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE WAS
Points 119.8 110.3
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 65.7 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 36.7
Points From Free Throws 17.5 15.2
Shooting CLE WAS
Field Goals Made 45.0 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 88.8
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.9 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.2% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 19.8
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.8%
Ball Control CLE WAS
Rebounds 51.3 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.7
Turnovers 12.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.7
Steals 7.2 6.8
Fouls 15.4 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE WAS
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 99.8
% of Possessions with CLE WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 15.0%
Turnover 11.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE WAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 19.6%