NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS CHI
Points 118.4 104.6
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 47.3 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 54.5 33.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 13.0
Shooting BOS CHI
Field Goals Made 41.8 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 92.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 59.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 18.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 46.9 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 16.6 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 16.3
Free Throw % 80.1% 79.2%
Ball Control BOS CHI
Rebounds 52.4 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.8
Turnovers 10.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.3
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 14.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS CHI
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 101.9
% of Possessions with BOS CHI
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 41.9% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.1% 14.3%
Turnover 11.0% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS CHI
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 23.8%