NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS DAL
Points 113.9 107.0
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 50.4 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 47.5 39.2
Points From Free Throws 15.9 13.3
Shooting BOS DAL
Field Goals Made 41.1 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 90.0
Field Goal % 46.3% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.2 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 42.3 37.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 15.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 17.9
Free Throw % 80.1% 74.4%
Ball Control BOS DAL
Rebounds 52.1 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.7
Turnovers 10.2 10.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.6
Steals 6.0 4.8
Fouls 15.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS DAL
Total Possessions 98.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 100.1
% of Possessions with BOS DAL
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 37.7% 33.4%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.8%
Turnover 10.4% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS DAL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 22.6%